Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.212992 0.242073 0.273247 0.309103 0.349153 0.392459 0.442780
2026-01-25 0.177788 0.217463 0.262797 0.318251 0.384059 0.459461 0.552185
2026-02-01 0.147959 0.192999 0.247401 0.317558 0.405206 0.510624 0.646501
2026-02-08 0.125212 0.173074 0.233827 0.315933 0.423231 0.557832 0.738477
2026-02-15 0.107625 0.156864 0.222249 0.314423 0.439815 0.603077 0.830091
2026-02-22 0.096415 0.147419 0.217952 0.321191 0.466708 0.662452 0.943158
2026-03-01 0.085167 0.136291 0.209755 0.321147 0.483433 0.708421 1.040342
2026-03-08 0.075911 0.126806 0.202619 0.321407 0.499835 0.754144 1.139153
2026-03-15 0.068270 0.118772 0.196593 0.322332 0.516640 0.800756 1.241243
2026-03-22 0.062584 0.113103 0.193449 0.327018 0.538891 0.856034 1.358494
2026-03-29 0.058309 0.109214 0.192601 0.334944 0.566256 0.920034 1.491769
2026-04-05 0.053640 0.104081 0.189145 0.338161 0.586078 0.973244 1.611023
2026-04-12 0.049581 0.099750 0.186903 0.343641 0.610666 1.036497 1.751519
2026-04-19 0.046585 0.097009 0.187102 0.353192 0.642516 1.113018 1.917232
2026-04-26 0.042294 0.091318 0.181521 0.352151 0.656301 1.160968 2.039461
2026-05-03 0.038367 0.085848 0.175773 0.350213 0.668188 1.206171 2.159276
2026-05-10 0.034902 0.080878 0.170440 0.348473 0.680085 1.251747 2.281731
2026-05-17 0.032874 0.078633 0.170067 0.355852 0.708650 1.327057 2.458040
2026-05-24 0.030214 0.074708 0.166005 0.355779 0.723410 1.378960 2.596389
2026-05-31 0.027853 0.071148 0.162313 0.356050 0.738667 1.432302 2.739559
2026-06-07 0.025788 0.068000 0.159153 0.357057 0.755242 1.488647 2.890479
2026-06-14 0.024272 0.065948 0.158093 0.362192 0.780006 1.560963 3.073255
2026-06-21 0.023167 0.064748 0.158746 0.370880 0.812196 1.648424 3.287398